BAR 78-81 UCM, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UCM beat BAR 81-78, and UCM's shots were worth 88.7 points to BAR's 83.4.

BAR 78-81 UCM, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR686368.615/1914.87883.4
UCM616369.818/2518.98188.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.