CAZ 83-95 RMB, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. RMB beat CAZ 95-83, but CAZ's shots were worth 106.5 points to RMB's 99.6.

CAZ 83-95 RMB, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CAZ766486.819/2519.783106.5
RMB667277.823/2721.99599.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.