JOV 82-68 ILE, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JOV beat ILE 82-68, but ILE's shots were worth 83.2 points to JOV's 81.9.

JOV 82-68 ILE, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
JOV	63	64	63.6	18/23	18.3	82	81.9
ILE	66	52	66.1	16/22	17.1	68	83.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.