BUR 89-102 CAZ, October 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CAZ beat BUR 102-89, but BUR's shots were worth 104.1 points to CAZ's 101.1.

BUR 89-102 CAZ, October 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	71	68	78.8	21/34	25.3	89	104.1
CAZ	65	74	75.6	28/33	25.5	102	101.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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