UNI 77-83 BAR, October 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat UNI 83-77, but UNI's shots were worth 92.8 points to BAR's 83.6.

UNI 77-83 BAR, October 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UNI	73	61	78.1	16/20	14.8	77	92.8
BAR	55	57	58.2	26/33	25.4	83	83.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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