COV 80-83 BKN, October 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat COV 83-80, but COV's shots were worth 79.8 points to BKN's 76.9.

COV 80-83 BKN, October 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
COV	57	57	59.7	23/27	20.1	80	79.8
BKN	62	74	65.2	9/15	11.8	83	76.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.