MBA 115-113 GIR, October 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. MBA beat GIR 115-113, and the shots on each side were worth 110.1.

MBA 115-113 GIR, October 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBA747976.036/4434.1115110.1
GIR799082.223/3827.9113110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.