LLT 96-80 UCM, October 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLT beat UCM 96-80, but UCM's shots were worth 82.1 points to LLT's 77.6.

LLT 96-80 UCM, October 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLT598164.315/1713.39677.6
UCM616467.316/2014.98082.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.