BAR 86-91 ILE, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ILE beat BAR 91-86, but BAR's shots were worth 91.9 points to ILE's 83.4.

BAR 86-91 ILE, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR676670.220/2821.88691.9
ILE597164.620/2518.89183.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Liga ACB games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.