JOV 89-86 CAZ, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JOV beat CAZ 89-86, but CAZ's shots were worth 101.2 points to JOV's 89.7.

JOV 89-86 CAZ, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
JOV	72	79	77.2	10/16	12.5	89	89.7
CAZ	69	63	78.7	23/29	22.5	86	101.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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