DGC 72-81 UNI, October 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UNI beat DGC 81-72, but DGC's shots were worth 78.5 points to UNI's 75.8.

DGC 72-81 UNI, October 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DGC	53	54	55.9	18/30	22.6	72	78.5
UNI	61	59	58.4	22/24	17.4	81	75.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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