COV 75-87 JOV, October 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JOV beat COV 87-75, and JOV's shots were worth 90.0 points to COV's 84.6.

COV 75-87 JOV, October 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
COV585660.619/3124.07584.6
JOV727074.317/2015.78790.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.