BUR 97-79 GIR, October 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BUR beat GIR 97-79, and BUR's shots were worth 110.6 points to GIR's 100.1.

BUR 97-79 GIR, October 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUR	71	70	85.1	27/34	25.5	97	110.6
GIR	66	55	76.1	24/33	24.0	79	100.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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