UNI 86-68 SBB, October 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UNI beat SBB 86-68, but SBB's shots were worth 80.4 points to UNI's 79.3.

UNI 86-68 SBB, October 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UNI617163.615/2215.78679.3
SBB565059.518/2820.96880.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.