Mega 88-82 Zadar, October 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Mega beat Zadar 88-82, and Mega's shots were worth 92.4 points to Zadar's 84.3.

Mega 88-82 Zadar, October 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Mega626472.324/2720.18892.4
Zadar626770.815/1813.58284.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.