Cedevita Olimpija 89-76 Cibona, October 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cedevita Olimpija beat Cibona 89-76, and Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 73.9 points to Cibona's 69.3.

Cedevita Olimpija 89-76 Cibona, October 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija627560.814/1813.18973.9
Cibona626255.514/1913.87669.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.