Split 78-92 Dubai Basketball, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Dubai Basketball beat Split 92-78, and Dubai Basketball's shots were worth 94.5 points to Split's 81.7.

Split 78-92 Dubai Basketball, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Split556164.917/2216.77881.7
Dubai Basketball617575.917/2418.69294.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.