Zadar 74-69 Perspektiva Ilirija, December 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Zadar beat Perspektiva Ilirija 74-69, but Perspektiva Ilirija's shots were worth 78.5 points to Zadar's 74.5.

Zadar 74-69 Perspektiva Ilirija, December 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	61	64	63.8	10/14	10.7	74	74.5
Perspektiva Ilirija	63	61	68.4	8/14	10.2	69	78.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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