Bosna 77-86 Crvena zvezda, December 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Crvena zvezda beat Bosna 86-77, but Bosna's shots were worth 77.5 points to Crvena zvezda's 76.0.

Bosna 77-86 Crvena zvezda, December 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bosna	60	68	63.4	9/19	14.1	77	77.5
Crvena zvezda	52	68	57.1	18/24	18.9	86	76.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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