Budućnost 93-97 Spartak, October 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Spartak beat Budućnost 97-93, but Budućnost's shots were worth 89.6 points to Spartak's 79.4.

Budućnost 93-97 Spartak, October 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Budućnost787867.215/3022.39389.6
Spartak698060.517/2618.99779.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.