Zadar 88-73 Mega, November 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Zadar beat Mega 88-73, and Zadar's shots were worth 97.8 points to Mega's 69.1.

Zadar 88-73 Mega, November 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Zadar686876.220/2821.68897.8
Mega576159.312/139.87369.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.