Cedevita Olimpija 87-86 Crvena zvezda, November 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cedevita Olimpija beat Crvena zvezda 87-86, and Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 79.3 points to Crvena zvezda's 70.2.

Cedevita Olimpija 87-86 Crvena zvezda, November 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija	59	72	58.5	15/27	20.9	87	79.3
Crvena zvezda	47	59	45.2	27/32	25.0	86	70.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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