Crvena zvezda 79-85 Zadar, October 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Zadar beat Crvena zvezda 85-79, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 90.2 points to Zadar's 69.9.

Crvena zvezda 79-85 Zadar, October 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Crvena zvezda	67	55	67.9	24/28	22.3	79	90.2
Zadar	62	73	57.5	12/16	12.3	85	69.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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