Zadar 77-78 Bosna, November 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Bosna beat Zadar 78-77, but Zadar's shots were worth 74.1 points to Bosna's 73.3.

Zadar 77-78 Bosna, November 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	52	58	54.9	19/25	19.3	77	74.1
Bosna	57	67	60.3	11/18	13.0	78	73.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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