Dubai Basketball 77-69 SC Derby, November 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Dubai Basketball beat SC Derby 77-69, and Dubai Basketball's shots were worth 97.2 points to SC Derby's 69.4.

Dubai Basketball 77-69 SC Derby, November 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Dubai Basketball	71	63	83.5	14/18	13.7	77	97.2
SC Derby	56	61	61.2	8/11	8.2	69	69.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.