Spartak 85-80 Crvena zvezda, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Spartak beat Crvena zvezda 85-80, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 81.3 points to Spartak's 76.4.

Spartak 85-80 Crvena zvezda, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Spartak	61	65	60.2	20/22	16.2	85	76.4
Crvena zvezda	65	65	66.5	15/19	14.8	80	81.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.