Crvena zvezda 78-89 Partizan, May 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Partizan beat Crvena zvezda 89-78, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 85.6 points to Partizan's 76.4.

Crvena zvezda 78-89 Partizan, May 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Crvena zvezda	65	63	68.5	15/22	17.1	78	85.6
Partizan	56	72	60.2	17/22	16.3	89	76.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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