Dubai Basketball 104-90 Budućnost, May 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Dubai Basketball beat Budućnost 104-90, but Budućnost's shots were worth 94.1 points to Dubai Basketball's 89.8.

Dubai Basketball 104-90 Budućnost, May 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Dubai Basketball	63	85	68.6	19/27	21.2	104	89.8
Budućnost	76	76	80.4	14/17	13.7	90	94.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.