Mega 103-98 Krka, April 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Mega beat Krka 103-98, but Krka's shots were worth 104.1 points to Mega's 93.4.

Mega 103-98 Krka, April 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Mega658174.422/2418.910393.4
Krka707779.621/3224.498104.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.