Mega 79-84 FMP, March 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. FMP beat Mega 84-79, but Mega's shots were worth 98.9 points to FMP's 88.8.

Mega 79-84 FMP, March 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Mega776480.615/2418.37998.9
FMP656870.416/2418.48488.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.