Split 96-74 Mega, March 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Split beat Mega 96-74, but Mega's shots were worth 100.1 points to Split's 93.9.

Split 96-74 Mega, March 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Split	66	81	79.4	15/19	14.5	96	93.9
Mega	69	60	84.9	14/21	15.2	74	100.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.