Budućnost 78-95 Dubai Basketball, March 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Dubai Basketball beat Budućnost 95-78, and Dubai Basketball's shots were worth 79.2 points to Budućnost's 78.6.

Budućnost 78-95 Dubai Basketball, March 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Budućnost635959.219/2519.47878.6
Dubai Basketball647865.317/1813.99579.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.