Zadar 66-72 Krka, March 13, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Krka beat Zadar 72-66, and Krka's shots were worth 83.8 points to Zadar's 83.2.

Zadar 66-72 Krka, March 13, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	63	53	67.8	13/20	15.4	66	83.2
Krka	63	55	67.2	17/21	16.6	72	83.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.