Mega 106-88 Bosna, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Mega beat Bosna 106-88, but Bosna's shots were worth 99.7 points to Mega's 94.3.

Mega 106-88 Bosna, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Mega568167.125/3627.110694.3
Bosna696878.720/2921.18899.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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