Zadar 106-77 Split, March 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Zadar beat Split 106-77, and Zadar's shots were worth 89.6 points to Split's 81.1.

Zadar 106-77 Split, March 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	74	96	80.4	10/12	9.2	106	89.6
Split	61	61	63.0	16/25	18.1	77	81.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.