Mega 107-102 Crvena zvezda, February 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Mega beat Crvena zvezda 107-102, and Mega's shots were worth 107.7 points to Crvena zvezda's 101.8.

Mega 107-102 Crvena zvezda, February 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Mega758587.922/2619.8107107.7
Crvena zvezda667478.128/3023.6102101.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.