Bosna 94-83 Mega, January 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Bosna beat Mega 94-83, and Bosna's shots were worth 96.3 points to Mega's 84.0.

Bosna 94-83 Mega, January 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Bosna	72	75	78.2	19/24	18.1	94	96.3
Mega	54	61	60.0	22/32	24.0	83	84.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.