FMP 87-80 SC Derby, October 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FMP beat SC Derby 87-80, and FMP's shots were worth 84.3 points to SC Derby's 81.4.

FMP 87-80 SC Derby, October 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FMP	62	68	65.5	19/24	18.7	87	84.3
SC Derby	69	71	73.1	9/11	8.3	80	81.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.