Split 76-85 FMP, January 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. FMP beat Split 85-76, but Split's shots were worth 98.8 points to FMP's 92.0.

Split 76-85 FMP, January 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Split706285.914/1813.07698.8
FMP606670.419/2921.68592.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.