FMP 98-91 Split, December 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FMP beat Split 98-91, and FMP's shots were worth 88.5 points to Split's 86.9.

FMP 98-91 Split, December 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FMP	59	68	59.4	30/38	29.0	98	88.5
Split	62	69	64.2	22/30	22.8	91	86.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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