Krka 103-90 Mornar-Barsko zlato, November 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Krka beat Mornar-Barsko zlato 103-90, but Mornar-Barsko zlato's shots were worth 96.9 points to Krka's 91.0.

Krka 103-90 Mornar-Barsko zlato, November 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Krka	64	87	76.0	16/19	15.0	103	91.0
Mornar-Barsko zlato	64	72	76.1	18/30	20.8	90	96.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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