Zadar 65-68 Mega, December 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Mega beat Zadar 68-65, but Zadar's shots were worth 81.3 points to Mega's 66.6.

Zadar 65-68 Mega, December 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	69	60	74.9	5/9	6.4	65	81.3
Mega	55	60	58.4	8/11	8.2	68	66.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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