Cedevita Olimpija 93-82 Mega, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Cedevita Olimpija beat Mega 93-82, but Mega's shots were worth 86.4 points to Cedevita Olimpija's 84.1.

Cedevita Olimpija 93-82 Mega, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija698070.213/1813.99384.1
Mega696670.516/2115.98286.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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