FMP 67-83 Zadar, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Zadar beat FMP 83-67, but FMP's shots were worth 81.7 points to Zadar's 78.5.

FMP 67-83 Zadar, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FMP	60	45	60.9	22/27	20.9	67	81.7
Zadar	60	62	59.0	21/26	19.5	83	78.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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