Krka 106-109 FMP, November 11, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FMP beat Krka 109-106, and FMP's shots were worth 117.1 points to Krka's 101.6.

Krka 106-109 FMP, November 11, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Krka	71	83	80.3	23/27	21.3	106	101.6
FMP	82	88	95.6	21/28	21.5	109	117.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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