Crvena zvezda 92-86 Cedevita Olimpija, November 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Crvena zvezda beat Cedevita Olimpija 92-86, but Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 83.8 points to Crvena zvezda's 82.3.

Crvena zvezda 92-86 Cedevita Olimpija, November 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Crvena zvezda	56	74	64.2	18/24	18.1	92	82.3
Cedevita Olimpija	68	73	72.1	13/15	11.7	86	83.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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