Budućnost 77-69 Mega, November 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat Mega 77-69, and Budućnost's shots were worth 83.7 points to Mega's 79.9.

Budućnost 77-69 Mega, November 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	68	65	71.6	12/15	12.1	77	83.7
Mega	64	55	66.8	14/17	13.0	69	79.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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