Budućnost 73-75 Crvena zvezda, October 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Crvena zvezda beat Budućnost 75-73, but Budućnost's shots were worth 83.2 points to Crvena zvezda's 72.7.

Budućnost 73-75 Crvena zvezda, October 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Budućnost676169.312/1813.97383.2
Crvena zvezda576156.814/2115.97572.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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