No. Krka beat SC Derby 97-91, but SC Derby's shots were worth 89.4 points to Krka's 79.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krka | 56 | 80 | 64.0 | 17/20 | 15.5 | 97 | 79.5 |
| SC Derby | 62 | 75 | 73.8 | 16/21 | 15.6 | 91 | 89.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.