Zadar 71-75 Partizan, October 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Partizan beat Zadar 75-71, but Zadar's shots were worth 79.7 points to Partizan's 75.3.

Zadar 71-75 Partizan, October 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	62	59	67.2	12/17	12.5	71	79.7
Partizan	56	64	64.3	11/14	11.0	75	75.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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